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Is Masters Golf A Bogey Or Hole-In-One Market Predictor?
Economic Blog This year’s Masters Golf Tournament teed off Thursday at the Augusta National Course in Georgia. While there will be some familiar sights as the players compete for the coveted green jacket, it will also be a year unlike any other. Due to the ongoing effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, the tournament is being played […]
November 13, 2020
Small Caps Join The New-Highs Party
Market Blog It took more than two years, but small caps finally broke out to new highs, as the Russell 2000 Index on Friday closed at its first new high since August 31, 2018. This capped off one of the longest stretches ever without a new high. View enlarged chart. “We’ve seen large cap strength […]
November 16, 2020
2 Reasons Long-Term Rates Could Continue to Rise
Market Blog Posted by lplresearch Fixed income investors aren’t used to having to deal with the volatility of stocks, but in the year that is 2020, that is exactly what has happened thus far. Unfortunately, while we don’t see the volatility of Q1 2020 continuing in 2021, we do believe that interest rates may continue to […]
November 17, 2020
5 Noteworthy Charts To Watch As Stocks Soar
Market Blog Posted by lplresearch First, the big economic data point this week was retail sales. Although the headline number was a little light at 0.3% versus an expected 0.5% gain month-over-month, it still hit another new all-time high along the way (source: US Census Bureau). “The miss could be a sign the consumer is finally […]
November 18, 2020
Europe’s Lockdown 2.0 May Be Smarter
Economic Blog Posted by lplresearch Real-time European COVID-19 and economic data provides an insight into how the pandemic is affecting economies around the world. We’re monitoring real-time data because traditional economic data is too slow to pick up the changes that are occurring. Europe is now in the midst of a significant second wave of COVID-19 […]
November 19, 2020
Leading Indicators Signal Economic Recovery Slowing
Economic Blog Posted by lplresearch Leading economic indicators are confirming what high-frequency data has been telling us for weeks: The rate of the domestic economic recovery, while still positive, is slowing. On November 19, the Conference Board released its October report detailing the latest reading for its Leading Economic Index (LEI), a composite of data series […]
November 20, 2020
Rising COVID-19 Cases Could Pressure the Recovery
Economic Blog Posted by lplresearch COVID-19 cases have been rising in several regions around the world, prompting many countries to implement new restrictions to curb the spread of the virus. Governments in a few European countries have rolled out what has been dubbed “lockdown 2.0,” and high-frequency data in the region, highlighted in our blog Europe’s Lockdown […]
Treasury Yields After Recessions End
Economic Blog Posted by lplresearch It may be a year or more before the end of the recession is officially called, but gauging from the growth we’ve seen since April, it may already be over. If that’s true, it’s a good time to take a look at what US Treasury yields do early in a new […]
November 24, 2020
30,000 Reasons To Be Thankful
Market Blog Posted by lplresearch As 2020 winds down, it has been an extremely tough year on all of us. Still, there are many reasons to be thankful and today we will share some reasons investors should be thankful. Stocks have had one of the largest reversals ever in 2020, something to be thankful for. In […]
November 25, 2020