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Is Brexit Fishing For A Deal?
Economic Blog Posted by lplresearch 12/22/2020 Brexit, the United Kingdom’s (UK) withdrawal from the European Union (EU), is making news again as it stumbles toward its apparent conclusion on December 31, 2020. The major sticking point now: fish. The UK officially left the EU on January 31, 2020, but it has been in a transition period, following […]
December 22, 2020
Three Fed Takeaways from an Extraordinary Year
Economic Blog Posted by lplresearch 12/29/2020 2020 was an extraordinary year for the Federal Reserve (Fed). The Fed responded swiftly and decisively to the rapidly accelerating financial and economic uncertainty brought on by efforts to contain the COVID-19 pandemic. The current Fed was helped by precedents and policies created during the 2008-09 recession, but also went […]
December 29, 2020
Housing Data Continues to Surge
Economic Blog Posted by lplresearch 12/30/20 For many economic data series, 2020 has been a roller coaster. Not for housing, however. The onset of the COVID-19 pandemic and social distancing measures jump-started the “nesting” behavioral shift away from urban apartments and into single-family housing in the suburbs, as households sought additional space. As shown in the […]
December 30, 2020
December Market Insights
Market Blog Posted by lplresearch View enlarged table. US and International Equities The S&P 500 Index, Dow Jones Industrial, and Nasdaq Composite indexes, continued their November run in December. As noted last month, November was a record-breaking month for equities, thanks to positive vaccine news, a strong third quarter earnings season, and a likely split Congress. […]
January 4, 2021
Two Tales of 2020 Bond Returns
Economic Blog Posted by lplresearch 1/5/2021 US investment-grade bonds had a solid 2020 despite a tumultuous year overall. The broad Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index had a total return of 7.5%—not as strong as 2019’s 8.7% but its fifth-best year in the last 20 and the best two-year stretch since 2001–02. “It was another good […]
January 6, 2021
Equity Winners and Losers in 2020
Markets Blog Posted by lplresearch 1/07/21 2020 was a good year for stock investors despite unprecedented challenges. After being down more than 30% at the March 2020 lows, the S&P 500 Index ended the year with a solid 18.4% total return. Last year marked the first time the index ended a year positive after being down […]
January 8, 2021
US Jobs Growth Turns Negative
Economic Blog Posted by lplresearch 1/8/2021 The differences in strength between the stock market and real economy were laid bare this week as the stock market surged to new highs while the jobs market continued to deteriorate and remains well short of its February peak. The US Bureau of Labor Statistics released its monthly employment report […]
Treasuries Hit Key Levels
Economic Blog Posted by lplresearch 1/12/2021 Treasury yields hit two key levels the first week of 2021. As shown in the LPL Chart of the Day, the 10-year Treasury yield moved above 1% for the first time since March 2020, and the 10-year breakeven inflation rate, a measure of Treasury market-implied inflation expectations, climbed above 2% […]
January 12, 2021
Small Business Optimism Falls to Recovery Low
Economic Blog Posted by lplresearch 1/13/21 Rising COVID-19 cases and concern about the policy environment put a dent in small business optimism in the month of December, the index’s second straight monthly decline. As shown in the LPL Chart of the Day, the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) Small Business Optimism Index, a survey of […]
January 13, 2021