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Small Business Optimism Falls to Recovery Low
Economic Blog Posted by lplresearch 1/13/21 Rising COVID-19 cases and concern about the policy environment put a dent in small business optimism in the month of December, the index’s second straight monthly decline. As shown in the LPL Chart of the Day, the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) Small Business Optimism Index, a survey of […]
January 13, 2021
Our View on Financials Has Improved
Market Blog Posted by lplresearch January 14, 2021 Heading into 2020, we maintained our preference for growth stocks as we believed that earnings growth would become harder to come by as the economic cycle aged, and their robust earnings growth was greatly appealing. These same growth stocks bucked historical precedent and proved to be well insulated […]
January 14, 2021
5 Charts on the Democratic Blue Wave
Economic Blog Posted by lplresearch January 15, 2021 One of the top questions we’ve received recently has been what a blue wave may mean for investments. After the Democrats won the two Senate runoff elections in Georgia, they will now control the White House and both chambers of Congress. Our January 11 Market Policy Projections for 2021 gave […]
January 15, 2021
Credit Spreads Limit Bond Performance Outlook
Economic Blog Posted by lplresearch 1/19/2021 Investment-grade credit spreads, the extra yield you get from investment-grade corporate bonds compared to similarly dated US Treasuries, have already tightened to a level you usually only see during the middle of the economic cycle—and that can have consequences for bond investors. As shown in the LPL Chart of the […]
January 19, 2021
How Stocks Did Under President Trump
Market Blog Posted by lplresearch 1/20/2021 Today Joe Biden becomes the 46th President of the United States. We’ve already looked forward at what his presidency, coupled with a blue wave in Congress, could mean for policy in Market Policy Projections for 2021, so today we take a look back at how stocks performed under President Donald Trump. […]
January 20, 2021
Mortgage Rates Continue to Fall as the Housing Market Booms
Economic Blog Posted by lplresearch 1/21/21 The onset of the global pandemic shocked the economy and triggered one of the deepest recessions ever in 2020. As investors fled to “safe haven” Treasuries and the Federal Reserve (Fed) lowered interest rates, the yield on the 10-year Treasury traded as low as 0.31% intraday on March 9, 2020 […]
January 21, 2021
Real-time COVID-19 Data Suggests Final Peak May Be Here
Economic Blog Posted by lplresearch 1/22/21 It has been exactly one year since the first COVID-19 case in the United States was reported to the Centers for Disease Control (CDC), and to say the world as we know it has been completely changed would be an understatement. Thankfully, we may finally be seeing the light at […]
January 22, 2021
Interest Rate Reversals Revisited
Economic Blog Posted by lplresearch 1/26/2021 In LPL Research Outlook 2021: Powering Forward, we noted that large interest rate declines historically have been followed by reversals. With the 10-year Treasury yield continuing to climb, now’s a good time for an update. As shown in the LPL Chart of the Day, since 1990, the 10-year Treasury yield had […]
January 26, 2021
How Stocks Perform in a President’s First Year
Market Blog Posted by lplresearch 1/27/21 2021 kicks off the first year of a new four-year presidential cycle. One of the most popular questions we’ve received lately is how have stocks performed historically during this political year. For starters, the S&P 500 Index historically has gained 6.8% per year during the first year of the four-year […]
January 27, 2021