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Federal Reserve Meeting Recap: March is Officially Live
Posted by lplresearch Thursday, January 27, 2022 The Federal Reserve (Fed) ended its two-day Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting yesterday and the outcome was broadly in line with the Fed’s recent hawkish shift. As expected, despite calls for a quicker exit, the Committee announced that the monthly asset purchase programs would end in “early March.” Also, […]
January 27, 2022
GDP Gets a Big Boost from Inventories
Posted by lplresearch January 27, 2022 The U.S. economy outperformed expectations in the fourth quarter. Gross domestic product (GDP) grew at a 6.9% annualized rate according to the initial Bureau of Economic Analysis’ estimate, clearing the Bloomberg consensus forecast of 5.5% by a healthy margin. The pace picked up nicely from the 2.3% growth rate in the […]
January 28, 2022
Who Let The Bears Out? Most Pessimistic Investor Sentiment Since 2013
Posted by lplresearch Monday, January 31, 2022 The latest weekly data from the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) showed a sharp increase in the percentage of individual investors who are bearish (52.9%) about short-term market expectations, the second most bears of the past 10 years and the highest level since early April 2013. Even though […]
January 31, 2022
What A Big Down Month For Stocks In January Could Mean
Posted by lplresearch Tuesday, February 1, 2022 Stocks made a new all-time high on the first day of trading in 2022, but it was a very rough month from there. In the end, the S&P 500 Index lost 5.3% in January, for the worst first month of the year since 2009. It could have been worse though, […]
February 1, 2022
What Would 5 Rate Hikes Mean for Stocks?
Posted by lplresearch Wednesday, February 2, 2022 The Federal Reserve (Fed) has made a decidedly hawkish pivot, with fed funds futures now expecting five rate hikes in 2022. For our full breakdown of the latest Fed meeting, please read our January 27 blog, Federal Reserve Meeting Recap: March is Officially Live. However, today we want to take a […]
February 2, 2022
Global Interest Rates Are on the Rise
Posted by lplresearch Thursday, February 3, 2022 With the recent hawkish pivot by the Federal Reserve (Fed) indicating a now quicker removal of monetary accommodation, U.S. Treasury yields have moved higher to start the year. Over the past few months, the Fed has indicated it will end its bond buying program in March, start its interest rate […]
February 3, 2022
Job Rebound Likely Keeps Fed on Track
Posted by lplresearch Friday, February 4, 2022 The U.S. economy added 467,000 jobs in January, well ahead of the consensus estimate of 125,000, and December’s disappointment was wiped off the books after being revised upward from 199,000 to 510,000. Seasonal adjustments in January are often challenging and today’s upside surprise should probably be greeted with some skepticism. […]
February 4, 2022
Will the Year of the Tiger Make the Bulls Smile?
Posted by lplresearch Monday, February 7, 2022 “Bulls make money, bears make money, and pigs get slaughtered.” Old Wall Street saying. The Chinese New Year (often called the Lunar New Year) kicked off on Tuesday, February 1, and with it will begin the Year of the Tiger. Although we would never suggest investing based on the […]
February 7, 2022
What is Balance Sheet Runoff and Should Investors Be Concerned?
Posted by lplresearch Tuesday, February 8, 2022 Since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic, the Federal Reserve (Fed) has been supporting financial markets by buying $120 billion of U.S. Treasury and mortgage-backed securities (MBS) each month. Currently, the Fed is in the process of reducing (tapering) the amount of asset purchases but is still adding to its […]
February 8, 2022
Do Stocks Want The Bengals or Rams to Win?
Posted by lplresearch Wednesday, February 9, 2022 The Super Bowl Indicator suggests stocks rise for the full year when the Super Bowl winner has come from the original National Football League (now the NFC), but when an original American Football League (now the AFC) team has won, stocks fall. We would be the first to admit that […]
February 9, 2022