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Was that the Bear Market Low (Part 2)?
Posted by George Smith, CFA, CAIA, CIPM, Quantitative Strategist Monday, June 27, 2022 With the S&P 500 moving into a bear market and the first half of the year since shaping up as one of the worst ever, many investors are wondering if we have yet seen the bear market low. We first asked, “Was that the […]
June 27, 2022
Has High Yield Credit Been Resilient in 2022?
Posted by jkwhitmore123 Tuesday, June 28, 2022 Fixed income’s negative returns have been historic so far in 2022, with the U.S. Aggregate index down roughly 11%. No fixed income sector has been immune to hot inflation prints and rising rates (e.g., 10-year Treasury yield has doubled YTD) as the Federal Reserve quickly shifted to monetary tightening. […]
June 28, 2022
Central Bank Policy Expectations Continue to Pressure Global Yields. Is the End in Sight?
Posted by Lawrence Gillum, CFA, Fixed Income Strategist Thursday, June 30, 2022 Central bankers from the European Central Bank (ECB), Bank of England (BOE) and the Federal Reserve (Fed) met this week in Sintra, Portugal at the ECB’s annual conference to discuss strategies to arrest stubbornly high consumer prices. The combined impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, […]
June 30, 2022
Could Inflation Be Entering A New World Order?
Posted by Jeffrey J. Roach, PhD, Chief Economist Friday, July 1, 2022 Goods versus Services Before we think about the new world order that global inflation may enter, let’s start with the good news within the United States. The Federal Reserve’s (Fed) preferred measure of inflation, the core PCE deflator, is slowing on a year-over-year basis. […]
July 1, 2022
Is the U.S. Treasury Market Showing Signs of Cracking?
Posted by Lawrence Gillum, CFA, Fixed Income Strategist Tuesday, July 5, 2022 The U.S. Treasury market is arguably the most important market in the world. Not only does the market provide the financing of the federal government, it also provides a safe and liquid asset to support the flow of capital and credit to households and […]
July 5, 2022
What Happens After a Historically Weak Quarter for Stocks and Bonds
Posted by Barry Gilbert, PhD, CFA, Asset Allocation Strategist Wednesday, July 6, 2022 A historically weak quarter, six months, and year for stocks, bonds, and the two combined is now behind us. With stocks and bonds both showing weakness, not surprisingly a 60/40 balanced portfolio that combines the two has also shown weakness. As shown in […]
July 6, 2022
Reasons for Optimism As Second Half Gets Underway
Posted by Jeffrey Buchbinder, CFA, Equity Strategist Thursday, July 7, 2022 It’s a bull market for pessimism right now. We know the list of concerns is long and includes an aggressive Federal Reserve with a spotty (and that’s putting it kindly) track record of navigating a soft landing, stagflation, ongoing China lockdowns, disrupted supply chains, overly […]
July 7, 2022
Can We Get a Goldilocks Scenario?
Posted by Jeffrey J. Roach, PhD, Chief Economist Friday, July 8, 2022 Broad-Based Job Gains Keep Recession Away The U.S. added 372,000 jobs in June, at just a slightly lower clip from May, while the unemployment rate remained unchanged at 3.6%. The participation rate dipped to 62.2% in June as individuals dropped out of the labor […]
July 8, 2022
Is There Any Value Left in TIPS?
Posted by Lawrence Gillum, CFA, Fixed Income Strategist July 12, 2022 The consumer price index (CPI) is scheduled to be released on Wednesday and it is widely expected that the headline inflation number will again resemble consumer price increases last seen in the early ‘80s. Currently, consensus expectations are for headline inflation numbers, which include food […]
July 12, 2022