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Coming in Hot
Posted by Adam Turnquist, CMT, VP Chief Technical Strategist Friday, April 14, 2023 Key Takeaways: Earnings season officially kicked off today with the major money center banks reporting first quarter (Q1) results. Expectations into the quarter are running low as S&P 500 earnings per share (EPS) estimates are at -6.8%, according to FactSet. This marks a […]
April 14, 2023
An Economy with a Backache
Posted by Jeffrey J. Roach, PhD, Chief Economist Tuesday, April 18, 2023 Overview The Backbone of the Economy Small businesses are often considered the backbone of the economy because of the amount of economic activity generated by the sector, and it looks like a backache has emerged. Small businesses have an incredible impact on both the […]
April 18, 2023
The Treasury Market is Starting to Show Signs of Worry Over Debt Ceiling
Posted by Lawrence Gillum, CFA, Chief Fixed Income Strategist Wednesday, April 19, 2023 With tax season (mostly) behind us, the U.S. Treasury Department will have a better sense of how much cash it has on hand and when it will run through the extraordinary measures it is currently employing to pay its bills. The Treasury is […]
April 19, 2023
Volatility at Lowest Level Since 2021 – What Could This Mean for Stocks?
Posted by George Smith, CFA, CAIA, CIPM, Portfolio Strategist Thursday, August 20, 2023 Implied volatility, as measured by the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) Volatility Index (VIX), closed yesterday at 16.46, its lowest closing level since mid-November 2021. Today we take a look at possible reasons for the decline in the VIX and what it could […]
April 20, 2023
No Respect Recovery
Posted by Adam Turnquist, CMT, VP Chief Technical Strategist Friday, April 21, 2023 Key Takeaways: No Respect The market and Rodney Dangerfield have a lot in common these days – they both get no respect! Despite the S&P 500’s technical progress powered by a 7.5% gain this year, investor sentiment and positioning remain significantly bearish. Cash […]
April 21, 2023
Buy in May and Enjoy the Stay?
Posted by Lawrence Gillum, CFA, Chief Fixed Income Strategist Tuesday, May 2, 2023 In this week’s Weekly Market Commentary, we noted the seasonal stock market pattern in which stocks generally produce the best returns from November through April and the worst returns from May through October (although we note this pattern hasn’t been true recently). But most investors […]
May 2, 2023
Fed Sets Up for a Pause
Posted by Jeffrey J. Roach, PhD, Chief Economist Thursday, May 4, 2023 Overview Softer Language The Fed raised rates for the tenth consecutive time, pushing the upper bound of the fed funds rate to 5.25%, the highest since August 2007. Markets were not surprised by that decision but many took note of the conspicuous removal of […]
May 4, 2023
Battle Inside the Beltway
Posted by Adam Turnquist, CMT, VP Chief Technical Strategist Friday, May 5, 2023 Key Takeaways: Backdrop As if rate hikes, rising recession risk, and another bank rescue were not enough to deal with, the market is now gearing up for a battle inside the Beltway as Democrats and Republicans spar over solutions to avoid a default […]
May 5, 2023