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Inflation with a 4 Handle
Posted by Jeffrey J. Roach, PhD, Chief Economist Wednesday, May 10, 2023 Overview View enlarged chart Markets Believe Inflation Moving in Right Direction As inflation moves in the right direction, investors are right to believe that the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will keep rates unchanged in the upcoming meeting in June. Headline inflation is showing […]
May 10, 2023
Stock Returns and Recessions Around Inflation Peaks
Posted by Barry Gilbert, PhD, CFA, Asset Allocation Strategist Thursday, May 11, 2023 We are coming up on being a full year removed from the peak in inflation next month, measured by the one-year change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI). CPI peaked in June 2022 at 9.1%. Year-over-year inflation has decline every month since, with […]
May 11, 2023
Can Money Market Funds Sidestep a U.S. Default?
Posted by Lawrence Gillum, CFA, Chief Fixed Income Strategist Tuesday, May 16, 2023 After years of waiting for cash to be a viable asset class again, investors have flocked into money market funds to take advantage of higher Treasury yields. In fact, with over $5 trillion in assets, money market assets under management have never been […]
May 16, 2023
Investor Sentiment Still Depressed by the Wall of Worry
Posted by George Smith, CFA, CAIA, CIPM, Portfolio Strategist Thursday, May 18, 2023 The latest weekly data from the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) showed individual investor sentiment is still at depressed levels. This is perhaps not surprising as investors have built up a “wall of worry” from concerns about lingering inflation, uncertainty over the […]
May 18, 2023
Follow the Money
Posted by Adam Turnquist, CMT, VP Chief Technical Strategist Friday, May 19, 2023 Key Takeaways: Pain Trade is Higher The pain trade for the broader market remains higher. Despite the S&P 500’s near double-digit rally this year, sentiment and investor positioning remain historically bearish. As highlighted in yesterday’s blog post—Investor Sentiment Still Depressed by the Wall […]
May 19, 2023
Tuesday Fixed Income Quick Takes
Posted by Lawrence Gillum, CFA, Chief Fixed Income Strategist Tuesday, May 23, 2023 View enlarged chart View enlarged chart View enlarged chart View enlarged chart View enlarged chart IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES This material is for general information only and is not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. There is no assurance that the […]
January 1, 1970
Tuesday Fixed Income Quick Takes
Posted by Lawrence Gillum, CFA, Chief Fixed Income Strategist Tuesday, May 23, 2023 View enlarged chart View enlarged chart View enlarged chart View enlarged chart View enlarged chart IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES This material is for general information only and is not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. There is no assurance that the […]
May 23, 2023
A Closer Look at Momentum
Posted by Adam Turnquist, CMT, VP Chief Technical Strategist Wednesday, May 24, 2023 Key Takeaways: What is MACD? This popular technical tool was first introduced by Gerald Appel in 1979 and combines momentum and trend following into a single indicator. As the name implies, the framework of the indicator is based on convergences and divergences between […]
May 24, 2023
Treasury Yields During Recessions
Posted by Barry Gilbert, PhD, CFA, Asset Allocation Strategist Friday, May 26, 2023 Key Takeaways: We are potentially at an important point of the economic cycle, both from the perspective recession risk and the end of a rate hiking cycle. LPL Research’s Asset Allocation Committee continues to be focused on what these potential changes might mean […]
May 26, 2023